diff --git a/__tests__/all.test.ts b/__tests__/all.test.ts
index 9a95acd..219dea1 100644
--- a/__tests__/all.test.ts
+++ b/__tests__/all.test.ts
@@ -1904,16 +1904,85 @@ describe('htmlbars-inline-precompile', function () {
       );
     });
 
-    it('errors if scope contains any non-reference values', async function () {
+    it('errors if scope contains any non-reference, non-literal values', async function () {
       await expect(() =>
         transform(
-          "import { precompileTemplate } from '@ember/template-compilation';\nvar compiled = precompileTemplate('hello', { scope: () => ({ foo, bar: 123 }) });"
+          "import { precompileTemplate } from '@ember/template-compilation';\nvar compiled = precompileTemplate('hello', { scope: () => ({ foo, bar: foo() }) });"
         )
       ).rejects.toThrow(
-        /Scope objects for `precompileTemplate` may only contain direct references to in-scope values, e.g. { bar } or { bar: bar }/
+        /Scope objects for `precompileTemplate` may only contain direct references to in-scope values, e.g. { bar } or { bar: bar }, or literal values. Found CallExpression/
       );
     });
 
+    it('errors if scope contains a template literal', async function () {
+      // a template literal can interpolate expressions that reference bindings
+      // we know nothing about, so it isn't a value we can inline
+      await expect(() =>
+        transform(
+          'import { precompileTemplate } from "@ember/template-compilation";\nvar compiled = precompileTemplate("hello", { scope: () => ({ bar: `hi` }) });'
+        )
+      ).rejects.toThrow(/or literal values. Found TemplateLiteral/);
+    });
+
+    it('errors if scope contains a regex literal', async function () {
+      // a regex literal would construct a new stateful object on every call
+      await expect(() =>
+        transform(
+          'import { precompileTemplate } from "@ember/template-compilation";\nvar compiled = precompileTemplate("hello", { scope: () => ({ bar: /hi/ }) });'
+        )
+      ).rejects.toThrow(/or literal values. Found RegExpLiteral/);
+    });
+
+    it('accepts literal scope values, as produced by a bundler inlining constants', async function () {
+      // e.g. rolldown's `optimization.inlineConst` rewrites
+      // `import { EMPTY } from './constants.js'; ... scope: () => ({ EMPTY })`
+      // into `scope: () => ({ EMPTY: "—" })` when the constant's value is
+      // statically known
+      let transformed = await transform(`
+        import { precompileTemplate } from '@ember/template-compilation';
+        import { setComponentTemplate } from '@ember/component';
+        import templateOnly from '@ember/component/template-only';
+        export default setComponentTemplate(precompileTemplate("<span>{{EMPTY}}{{COUNT}}{{FLAG}}{{NEGATIVE}}</span>", {
+          strictMode: true,
+          scope: () => ({ EMPTY: "—", COUNT: 3, FLAG: false, NEGATIVE: -1 }),
+        }), templateOnly());
+      `);
+
+      expect(wireScope(transformed)).toEqual({
+        EMPTY: '"—"',
+        COUNT: '3',
+        FLAG: 'false',
+        NEGATIVE: '-1',
+      });
+    });
+
+    it('keeps literal scope values when emitting hbs target format', async function () {
+      plugins = [[HTMLBarsInlinePrecompile, { targetFormat: 'hbs' }]];
+
+      let transformed = await transform(`
+        import { precompileTemplate } from '@ember/template-compilation';
+        const template = precompileTemplate("<span>{{EMPTY}}</span>", {
+          strictMode: true,
+          scope: () => ({ EMPTY: "—" }),
+        });
+      `);
+
+      expect(transformed).equalCode(`
+        import { precompileTemplate } from '@ember/template-compilation';
+        const template = precompileTemplate("<span>{{EMPTY}}</span>", {
+          strictMode: true,
+          scope: () => ({ EMPTY: "—" }),
+        });
+      `);
+    });
+
+    it('prunes unused literal scope values', async function () {
+      await transform(
+        "import { precompileTemplate } from '@ember/template-compilation';\nvar compiled = precompileTemplate('{{foo}}', { scope: () => ({ foo, unused: 123 }) });"
+      );
+      expect(precompileSpy.mock.lastCall?.at(-1)).toHaveProperty('locals', ['foo']);
+    });
+
     it('correctly removes not used scope', async function () {
       await transform(`
         import { precompileTemplate } from '@ember/template-compilation';
diff --git a/src/expression-parser.ts b/src/expression-parser.ts
index 0f17371..55ce07d 100644
--- a/src/expression-parser.ts
+++ b/src/expression-parser.ts
@@ -1,7 +1,7 @@
 import type { NodePath } from '@babel/traverse';
 import type * as Babel from '@babel/core';
 import type { types as t } from '@babel/core';
-import { ScopeLocals } from './scope-locals.js';
+import { ScopeLocals, type LiteralScopeValue, type SignedNumericLiteral } from './scope-locals.js';
 
 export class ExpressionParser {
   constructor(private babel: typeof Babel) {}
@@ -109,9 +109,18 @@ export class ExpressionParser {
             res.add(propName, 'this');
             break;
           default:
-            throw path.buildCodeFrameError(
-              `Scope objects for \`${invokedName}\` may only contain direct references to in-scope values, e.g. { ${propName} } or { ${propName}: ${propName} }. Found ${value.type}`
-            );
+            if (isLiteralScopeValue(this.t, value)) {
+              // A bundler's constant inlining can legally rewrite a reference
+              // to an imported constant into its literal value, turning
+              // `{ EMPTY }` into `{ EMPTY: "" }` before this plugin sees it.
+              // The literal still tells us everything we need: the
+              // template-visible name and the value it resolves to.
+              res.add(propName, value);
+            } else {
+              throw path.buildCodeFrameError(
+                `Scope objects for \`${invokedName}\` may only contain direct references to in-scope values, e.g. { ${propName} } or { ${propName}: ${propName} }, or literal values. Found ${value.type}`
+              );
+            }
         }
         return res;
       },
@@ -252,3 +261,20 @@ function name(node: t.StringLiteral | t.Identifier): string {
     return node.name;
   }
 }
+
+function isSignedNumericLiteral(t: typeof Babel.types, node: t.Node): node is SignedNumericLiteral {
+  return (
+    t.isUnaryExpression(node) &&
+    node.operator === '-' &&
+    (t.isNumericLiteral(node.argument) || t.isBigIntLiteral(node.argument))
+  );
+}
+
+// the value shapes a bundler's constant inlining can substitute for a
+// reference to an imported constant
+function isLiteralScopeValue(t: typeof Babel.types, node: t.Node): node is LiteralScopeValue {
+  if (isSignedNumericLiteral(t, node)) {
+    return true;
+  }
+  return t.isLiteral(node) && !t.isRegExpLiteral(node) && !t.isTemplateLiteral(node);
+}
diff --git a/src/plugin.ts b/src/plugin.ts
index 00dcba6..6e9d1ec 100644
--- a/src/plugin.ts
+++ b/src/plugin.ts
@@ -443,10 +443,18 @@ function remapAndBindIdentifiers(target: NodePath, babel: typeof Babel, scopeLoc
           // rewriting it there would drop the name the template refers to.
           return;
         }
+        let jsValue = scopeLocals.get(path.node.name);
+        if (typeof jsValue !== 'string') {
+          // this identifier's scope entry is a literal value (a bundler's
+          // constant inlining may produce those), so the template compiler
+          // output should contain the literal itself
+          path.replaceWith(babel.types.cloneNode(jsValue, true));
+          return;
+        }
         // this identifier has different names in hbs vs js, so we need to
         // replace the hbs name in the template compiler output with the js
         // name
-        path.replaceWith(babel.types.identifier(scopeLocals.get(path.node.name)));
+        path.replaceWith(babel.types.identifier(jsValue));
       }
       // this is where we tell babel's scope system about the new reference we
       // just introduced. @babel/plugin-transform-typescript in particular
@@ -662,8 +670,10 @@ function buildScope(babel: typeof Babel, locals: ScopeLocals) {
     t.objectExpression(
       locals
         .entries()
-        .map(([name, identifier]) =>
-          t.objectProperty(t.identifier(name), t.identifier(identifier), false, name !== 'this')
+        .map(([name, value]) =>
+          typeof value === 'string'
+            ? t.objectProperty(t.identifier(name), t.identifier(value), false, name !== 'this')
+            : t.objectProperty(t.identifier(name), t.cloneNode(value, true), false, false)
         )
     )
   );
diff --git a/src/scope-locals.ts b/src/scope-locals.ts
index 35daf37..96bcab5 100644
--- a/src/scope-locals.ts
+++ b/src/scope-locals.ts
@@ -8,6 +8,7 @@
 */
 
 import type { NodePath } from '@babel/traverse';
+import type { types as t } from '@babel/core';
 import type { ASTPluginEnvironment, NodeVisitor } from '@glimmer/syntax';
 import { astNodeHasBinding } from './hbs-utils.js';
 import { readOnlyArray } from './read-only-array.js';
@@ -103,12 +104,32 @@ type Params =
       mayUseLexicalThis: boolean;
     };
 
+// A negative number is a UnaryExpression rather than a literal, but it's
+// still a constant value with no dependency on any binding.
+export type SignedNumericLiteral = t.UnaryExpression & {
+  operator: '-';
+  argument: t.NumericLiteral | t.BigIntLiteral;
+};
+
+// The constant values a scope entry can hold. Regexes and template literals
+// are deliberately excluded: a regex literal would construct a new (stateful)
+// object on every call, and a template literal can contain expressions that
+// reference bindings we know nothing about.
+export type LiteralScopeValue =
+  | Exclude<t.Literal, t.RegExpLiteral | t.TemplateLiteral>
+  | SignedNumericLiteral;
+
+// Each hbs name in the template's scope maps to either the name of a JS
+// binding or, when a bundler's constant inlining has replaced the original
+// binding with its statically-known value, that value.
+export type ScopeValue = string | LiteralScopeValue;
+
 export class ScopeLocals {
   constructor(params: Params) {
     this.#params = params;
   }
 
-  #mapping: Record<string, string> = {};
+  #mapping: Record<string, ScopeValue> = {};
   #locals: string[] = [];
   #params: Params;
 
@@ -123,7 +144,7 @@ export class ScopeLocals {
     return key in this.#mapping;
   }
 
-  get(key: string): string {
+  get(key: string): ScopeValue {
     return this.#mapping[key];
   }
 
@@ -135,16 +156,20 @@ export class ScopeLocals {
     return Object.entries(this.#mapping);
   }
 
-  add(hbsName: string, jsName?: string) {
-    this.#mapping[hbsName] = jsName ?? hbsName;
+  add(hbsName: string, jsValue?: ScopeValue) {
+    this.#mapping[hbsName] = jsValue ?? hbsName;
     if (!this.#locals.includes(hbsName)) {
       this.#locals.push(hbsName);
     }
   }
 
   #isInJsScope(hbsName: string, jsPath: NodePath) {
-    let jsName = this.#mapping[hbsName] ?? hbsName;
-    return ALLOWED_GLOBALS.has(jsName) || jsPath.scope.getBinding(jsName);
+    let jsValue = this.#mapping[hbsName] ?? hbsName;
+    if (typeof jsValue !== 'string') {
+      // a constant value doesn't need any binding
+      return true;
+    }
+    return ALLOWED_GLOBALS.has(jsValue) || jsPath.scope.getBinding(jsValue);
   }
 
   // this AST transform discovers all possible upvars in HBS that refer to valid