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research(nightly): semantic-drift-detector — in-database embedding drift detection for agent memory#469

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research(nightly): semantic-drift-detector — in-database embedding drift detection for agent memory#469
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@ruvnet ruvnet commented May 17, 2026

Summary

Adds ruvector-drift, a standalone Rust crate providing three complementary semantic drift detectors for AI agent memory and vector index health. This is the first Rust crate targeting high-dimensional embedding-space drift detection. No existing vector database (Qdrant, Milvus, Weaviate, Pinecone, LanceDB, FAISS, pgvector, Chroma, Vespa) has a native drift detection capability as of 2026-05-17.

What is semantic drift?

Long-running AI agents accumulate vector memories. As context changes, the statistical distribution of those memories shifts silently — agents retrieve stale neighbors, generate outdated context, and degrade without error signals. The SSGM framework (arXiv:2603.11768) proves this accumulates as O(T·ε) per iteration without governance.

What this adds

  • CentroidDriftDetector — O(d) per obs, 3.6M obs/sec at d=128. Detects mean shift.
  • MmdDriftDetector — RFF-MMD approximation, 64K obs/sec. Detects mean AND variance/structural shifts. Recommended default.
  • GraphDriftDetector — k-NN two-sample test, 507 reports/sec. Catches topology drift invisible to the other two (GMM structural drift score = 1.0).
  • Shared DriftDetector trait with promote_current / reset_current window management.

Key finding

Centroid drift scores 0.052 on GMM structural data (indistinguishable from null 0.056). MMD-RFF scores 0.658 (alert fires). This validates needing multiple complementary algorithms — structural drift is invisible to mean tracking alone.

Deliverables

  • Working Rust PoC: crates/ruvector-drift/
  • ADR: docs/adr/ADR-194-semantic-drift-detector.md
  • Research doc: docs/research/nightly/2026-05-17-semantic-drift-detector/README.md
  • SEO gist: docs/research/nightly/2026-05-17-semantic-drift-detector/gist.md
  • Real benchmark results (no aspirational numbers)

Benchmark Results (x86_64 Linux, Rust 1.94.1, release)

Method Dataset p50 latency QPS Memory Score Alert
centroid null 197 ns 3,634,632 257 KB 0.056 ok
mmd-rff null 19.6 µs 63,876 323 KB 0.044 ok
graph-knn null 1.80 ms 506 205 KB 0.005 ok
centroid +2σ shift 169 ns 4,890,119 257 KB 2.000 DRIFT
mmd-rff +2σ shift 19.5 µs 64,542 323 KB 0.697 DRIFT
graph-knn +2σ shift 1.77 ms 505 205 KB 1.000 DRIFT
centroid GMM struct 169 ns 5,588,528 257 KB 0.052 ok ← misses it
mmd-rff GMM struct 19.5 µs 64,607 323 KB 0.658 DRIFT
graph-knn GMM struct 1.80 ms 507 205 KB 1.000 DRIFT

Acceptance test: PASS — 6/6 checks passed.

Test Plan

  • cargo build --release -p ruvector-drift — clean build, no warnings
  • cargo test -p ruvector-drift — 9/9 tests pass
  • cargo run --release -p ruvector-drift --bin benchmark — acceptance PASS with real numbers
  • cargo fmt -p ruvector-drift — clean

Ecosystem Integration Path

  1. ruFlo: DriftScore.alert → trigger memory-reindex workflow
  2. MCP tools: vector_memory_health tool backed by MmdDriftDetector
  3. ruvector-core: Feature-flag drift embeds CentroidDriftDetector in HNSW write path (<300 ns overhead)
  4. RVF manifest: drift_bound field for edge cognitive packages
  5. ruvector-verified: Anchor drift magnitude in witness log for proof-gated certification

Research Loop Summary

  • Pass 1 (Discover): Scored 10 candidate topics; semantic drift detected as highest leverage (4.65/5.00)
  • Pass 2 (Deepen): Confirmed no existing Rust implementation; identified three algorithms from literature
  • Pass 3 (Critique): Validated centroid vs MMD limitation empirically; confirmed graph-kNN is too slow for real-time

Top Alternatives Rejected

  1. Fréchet distance — more accurate but O(d³) eigendecomposition, not streaming-compatible
  2. Domain classifier — interpretable but requires training loop, not online
  3. HNSW-intrinsic drift signals — promising zero-overhead approach but unvalidated (future work)

Research doc: docs/research/nightly/2026-05-17-semantic-drift-detector/README.md
ADR: docs/adr/ADR-194-semantic-drift-detector.md
Gist: docs/research/nightly/2026-05-17-semantic-drift-detector/gist.md

This branch should either become a production RuVector capability or a falsified research path with useful evidence.


Generated by Claude Code

claude added 3 commits May 17, 2026 07:25
Introduces `ruvector-drift`, a standalone Rust crate providing three
complementary semantic drift detectors for agent memory and vector
index health monitoring. Implements ADR-194.

- CentroidDriftDetector: O(d) per obs, 3.6M obs/sec, detects mean shift
- MmdDriftDetector: RFF-MMD approximation, 64K obs/sec, detects mean+variance drift
- GraphDriftDetector: k-NN two-sample test, catches structural topology drift
- Shared DriftDetector trait with promote_current / reset_current API
- 9 unit tests all green; acceptance test PASS on benchmark binary
- Workspace member added to Cargo.toml

Benchmark (x86_64 Linux, Rust 1.94.1, release):
  centroid null: 197ns p50, 3.6M QPS, score=0.056 (no alert)
  centroid +2σ:  169ns p50, 4.9M QPS, score=2.000 (DRIFT)
  mmd-rff null:  19.6µs p50, 64K QPS, score=0.044 (no alert)
  mmd-rff +2σ:   19.5µs p50, 65K QPS, score=0.697 (DRIFT)
  mmd-rff GMM:   19.5µs p50, 65K QPS, score=0.658 (DRIFT) ← centroid misses this
  graph-knn +2σ: 1.77ms p50, 505 QPS, score=1.000 (DRIFT)
Architecture Decision Record for ruvector-drift crate. Documents the
decision to provide three complementary drift detectors (centroid, MMD-RFF,
graph-kNN), alternatives considered (Fréchet, domain classifier, HNSW-
intrinsic), benchmark evidence, failure modes, and three-phase
implementation plan.
Research document covers:
- 2026 SOTA survey (DriftLens, SSGM, Drift-Adapter, memory surveys)
- Three-pass research loop findings
- Full benchmark results with real measured numbers
- Memory and performance math
- 8 practical applications (agent compaction, graph-RAG, MCP health endpoint, etc.)
- 8 exotic applications (RVM coherence, proof-gated certification, swarm memory, etc.)
- Production crate layout proposal
- SEO-optimised gist for public distribution

No vector database has native drift detection as of 2026-05-17.
No Rust crate targets high-dimensional embedding-space drift.
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